Unlike most of the other states in Nigeria one peculiarity and constant political factor that has been driving the politics of Ondo State since its creation is the political psychology, perception and ideology coupled with the nature of the people who normally vote during elections which has placed it as the only state in the South West State that has an unbroken history of swimming against the tide in matters of electoral decisions.
It is also historical that from the creation of the state in 1976, amongst all the other states in South West, Ondo State has consistently maintained an unmatched chronological landmark achievements of confronting, humbling and winning against the federal might.
Looking back at the political antecedents of the past, it has become more or less a known fact that as far as Ondo State is concerned, the talk about Federal has never held water in the political history of the state .the emerging political actors and the latest political sentiments in Ondo State today.
During the second republic it was Pa Michael Adekunle Ajasin of the Unity Party of Nigeria [UPN] and the architect of Ondo Progressives clan versus Chief Akin Omoboriowo of the National Party of Nigeria [NPN] in 1983, and Ondo State voters resisted the federal might as Ajasin reclaimed his mandate as the State Governor before the 1993 coup.
Even 15 years after the 1979 and 1983 saga of the aborted second republic the progressives returned this same feat through the Alliance for Democracy [AD] in 1999 when Chief Adebayo Adefarati emerged as the AD flagbearer from an obscure regional party to defeat Dr.Olusegun Agagu an aspirant backed by the almighty federal might of the PDP.
Apart from 2003, when the Dr.Olusegun Agagu led Peoples Democratic Party,[PDP] that Ondo State people succumbed to the Do-Or-Die rampaging of the South West by President Olusegun Obasanjo and Ondo State was delivered to the federal might .
This euphoria soon fizzled out as in 2007 the former status quo and sentiments of not aligning with government at the center soon resurfaced in Ondo State politics as the Do-Or-Die political strategy of the PDP Federal might was humiliated from capturing Ondo State.
It is on record that the self-acclaimed African largest Peoples Democratic Party, PDP led by Chief Olusegun Obasanjo despite his Do-Or-Die mentality met their waterloo as the party candidate and the incumbent, Dr.Olusegun Agagu lost woefully to the Labour Party [LP] candidate, Dr.Olusegun Mimiko.
Instead the state was politically seceded to a very minute and relatively unknown Labour Party [LP] which midwived the government of Dr.Olusegun Mimiko as the state governor defeating the combined forces of federal might and the power of incumbency.
After the 2007 saga another very keenly contested guber elections was held in 2012 in Ondo State and on that occasion the federal might lost and has continued to bow to local might through different controversial circumstances.
The political atmosphere in 2012 also gave best opportunity to political pundits and analysts in and around Ondo State the opportunity to re-write the history of the federal might but alas, the same minority party candidate and the incumbent governor, Dr.Olusegun Mimiko of LP to the consternation of all flatly defeated both the revolutionary Action Congress of Nigeria [ACN] candidate, Barrister Rotimi Akeredolu and the then federal party but abandoned candidate of the PDP, Chief Olusola Oke.
And 13 years on after the federal might captured Ondo State, political pundits and analysts are however now pondering that notwithstanding the array of politicians being paraded by the All Progressives Party( APC) in the forthcoming November guber election, indications are rife that GOVERNOR Olusegun Mimiko may be on the verge of breaking the jinx in view of antecedents to his credit as a master on top of the game of politics in the State.
Though a section of political watchers of the next gubernatorial election in Ondo State are hoping that the Federal might victory might pay off this time around in the State because of the current economic recession and in particular the integrity crusade of President Muhammadu Buhari, but a substantial number of the people of the state and politicians feel and believe that Mimiko possesses all it takes to turn the table to break the jinx under the PDP ticket to ensure that the PDP guber candidate wins at the election.
Without mincing words, the forthcoming gubernatorial election in Ondo State between the different political parties is being seen as that of wits and mastery of the knowledge of the electorates and neither that of incumbency nor federal might in view of the known fact that there myriads of unresolved macro and micro issues dogging the PDP government in Ondo State and the APC government at the center in the face.
However, because the nation has continued to be enveloped in cloudy, hazy and obscure political atmosphere the people of the State now have their fears heightened of a possible re-occurrence of the past political failures of the federal might repeating itself in 2016,but only time ,dexterity of the political gladiators and the political parties and the voters will tell especially because of unpredictability in politics.